???? 據(jù)2月24日今日油價(jià)報(bào)道，美國(guó)銀行(Bank of America)本周表示，布倫特(Brent)原油價(jià)格可能在2021年第二季度達(dá)到每桶70美元，而今年的平均價(jià)格將達(dá)到每桶60美元，該銀行還將其平均價(jià)格預(yù)期從此前的預(yù)測(cè)上調(diào)了每桶10美元。
????主要經(jīng)濟(jì)體的寬松貨幣政策，以及歐佩克+減產(chǎn)和德州嚴(yán)寒天氣導(dǎo)致的石油供應(yīng)緊張，是美國(guó)銀行調(diào)高今年這兩個(gè)基準(zhǔn)價(jià)格預(yù)測(cè)的關(guān)鍵因素。布倫特原油今年的平均價(jià)格預(yù)計(jì)為每桶60美元，而美國(guó)基準(zhǔn)WTI原油2021年的平均價(jià)格預(yù)計(jì)為每桶57美元。
????美國(guó)銀行在周一發(fā)布的一份報(bào)告中稱："過(guò)去一周德州的嚴(yán)重冰凍災(zāi)害應(yīng)會(huì)使全球庫(kù)存再減少5000萬(wàn)桶，進(jìn)一步支撐油價(jià)。"
????美國(guó)東部時(shí)間周二上午9:35，油價(jià)回吐早盤漲幅，不過(guò)WTI原油價(jià)格仍高于每桶61美元，布倫特原油價(jià)格仍高于每桶65美元。
????油價(jià)周一飆升，原因是美國(guó)石油生產(chǎn)在德州嚴(yán)寒危機(jī)中緩慢恢復(fù)，分析師提高了他們的預(yù)測(cè)，預(yù)計(jì)市場(chǎng)將趨緊，而油價(jià)因預(yù)期庫(kù)存減少而上漲更快。
????與美國(guó)銀行類似，摩根士丹利也預(yù)計(jì)布倫特原油今年將觸及每桶70美元的關(guān)口，預(yù)計(jì)第三季度市場(chǎng)將大幅改善，包括需求方面。
????周日，高盛開始上調(diào)投行對(duì)油價(jià)的預(yù)測(cè)，預(yù)計(jì)布倫特(Brent)原油價(jià)格將在今年第三季度達(dá)到每桶75美元，原因是市場(chǎng)加速再平衡、預(yù)期庫(kù)存下降，以及交易員對(duì)沖通脹風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。
????高盛預(yù)計(jì)，布倫特原油價(jià)格將在今年第二季度達(dá)到每桶70美元的關(guān)口，在第三季度達(dá)到每桶75美元。因此，高盛將第二季度和第三季度的油價(jià)預(yù)測(cè)上調(diào)了每桶10美元。
????王佳晶 摘譯自 今日油價(jià)
????原文如下：
????Bank Of America Sees $70 Oil By Summer
????Brent Crude prices could hit $70 a barrel in the second quarter of 2021, while they are set to average $60 this year, Bank of America said this week, raising its average price outlook by $10 a barrel from its previous projection.
????Easy monetary policy in major economies, as well as tighter oil supply due to the OPEC+ production cuts and the Texas Freeze, are the key drivers of Bank of America Global Research’s increased price forecasts for both benchmarks this year. While Brent Crude is seen averaging $60 throughout this year, the U.S. benchmark, WTI Crude, is expected to average $57 in 2021.
????“The big Texas freeze in the past week should reduce global inventories by an additional 50 million barrels, further supporting (oil) prices,” BofA said in a note dated Monday, as carried by Reuters.
????Oil prices erased earlier gains and traded lower at 9:35 a.m. ET on Tuesday, with WTI Crude still above $61 and Brent Crude above $65 a barrel.
????Oil prices spiked on Monday on a slow restart of U.S. oil production lost in the Texas storm and analysts upgrading their forecasts, predicting a tighter market and prices rallying faster and higher on expected lower inventories.
????Echoing Bank of America, Morgan Stanley also sees Brent touching the $70 mark this year, but a bit later—in the third quarter, expecting “a much-improved market,” including on the demand side.
????On Sunday, Goldman Sachs started the investment banks’ upgrades of oil price forecasts, expecting Brent Crude prices to hit $75 a barrel in the third quarter this year, on the back of faster market rebalancing, lower expected inventories, and traders hedging against inflation.
????Goldman Sachs forecast Brent Crude prices reaching the $70 a barrel mark during the second quarter of this year, and hitting $75 in the third quarter. Goldman Sachs is thus lifting its previous Q2 and Q3 forecasts by $10 per barrel.
