????通訊員 據路透社3月2日倫敦報道,去年全球經濟猛跌時,人們爭相儲存大量非必需的原油和原油產品,但價格上漲和對需求的樂觀情緒促使儲存合約被迅速解除。
????馬基特(IHS Markit)預計顯示,截至2月底,固定油輪上存放10天以上的成品油量為1,920萬桶,較去年5月的峰值8,400萬桶下降了77%。
????歐佩克及歐佩克+密切關注全球庫存,減產速度將是其在周四舉行的產出政策會議上討論的主要因素。
????一年前,交易商還在努力追尋儲存空間,隨著燃料消耗的大幅下降,儲存價格飆升。去年5月,成品油輪的收益激增至創紀錄的每天10萬美元以上,而目前的收益還不到1萬美元。
????斯堪的納維亞半島偏遠的鹽穴和未使用的美國管道和火車被投入使用。
????石油經紀人稱,但現在,在歐洲西北部、地中海、中東和北美地區,儲存能力又開始恢復。
????鹿特丹ODIN-RVB儲存解決方案公司經紀人Krien van Beek稱:“各方已發出通知,要求在4月至5月終止合同。”
????現貨價格高于遠期交割的現貨溢價,鼓勵交易商減少石油供應并迅速出售。
????Refinitiv數據顯示,在歐洲,6個月期柴油價差在2月19日達到每噸8美元,為13個月來最大現貨溢價。
????去年4月,當全球人口流動受到嚴格限制時,這一價差曾低至每噸負92美元。
????據ODIN-RVB 儲存解決方案公司稱,儲存能力預計將在第二季度開始使用,特別是在斯堪的納維亞半島。
????2月19日,6個月期美國柴油期貨價差達到每加侖4.35美分,為2020年1月以來的最高水平。去年3月初,其價差為負3.2美分。
????紐約商品交易所(New York Mercantile Exchange)的柴油期貨基準也處于現貨溢價狀態。4月份交割的柴油價格比5月份的每加侖高出0.5美分左右。一年前,它還存在期貨溢價,比5月份的合約價格每加侖低0.2美分左右。
????美國能源信息署(EIA)數據顯示,截至2月19日當周,美國餾分油庫存降至1.527億桶,為2020年底以來最低水平。
????裘寅 編譯自 路透社
????原文如下:
????Oil optimism unwinding market's mad dash for storage
????When the world economy slammed on the brakes last year, there was a rush to store a wave of unwanted crude and products, but rising prices and optimism about demand is spurring a swift unwinding of storage contracts.
????At the end of February, the volume of refined products held on stationary tankers for over 10 days stood at 19.2 million barrels, down 77% from a peak of 84 million last May, IHS Markit estimates show.
????The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, a group known as OPEC+, closely monitors global inventories, and the rate of drawdowns will be a major factor discussed when it meets on output policy on Thursday.
????A year ago, traders were struggling to find storage capacity, and prices for it surged as fuel consumption plummeted. Earnings for product tankers surged to record highs above $100,000 a day last May versus less than $10,000 currently.
????Remote salt caverns in Scandinavia and unused U.S. pipelines and railcars were pressed into service.
????But now, capacity is again becoming available, in Northwestern Europe, the Mediterranean, Middle East and North America, brokers said.
????“Parties are giving notice to terminate contracts by April-May,” said Krien van Beek, a broker at ODIN-RVB Tank Storage Solutions in Rotterdam.
????Backwardation, where spot prices are higher than for later delivery, encourages traders to draw down oil supplies and sell promptly.
????In Europe, the six-month diesel spread reached $8 a tonne on February 19 in its biggest backwardation in 13 months, Refinitiv data showed.
????The spread was as low as minus $92 a tonne last April, when the world population went under strict lockdowns.
????Storage capacity is expected to become available in the second quarter, especially in Scandinavia, according to ODIN-RVB Tank Storage.
????The six-month U.S. diesel futures spread reached 4.35 cents per gallon on Feb. 19, its highest since January 2020. At the start of last March, it stood at minus 3.2 cents.
????The diesel futures benchmark on the New York Mercantile Exchange is also in backwardation. Diesel for April delivery was trading at around 0.5 cent per gallon more than for May. A year ago, it was in contango, trading at about 0.2 cent per gallon less than the May contract.
????U.S. distillate inventories in the week to Feb. 19 fell to 152.7 million barrels, their lowest since the end of 2020, Energy Information Administration data showed.