???? 據能源新聞2月27日新聞消息稱,荷蘭皇家殼牌公司在其年度液化天然氣市場展望中表示,到2040年,全球液化天然氣(LNG)需求預計將翻一番,達到7億噸。
????去年的需求為3.6億噸,略高于2019年的3.58億噸,盡管冠狀病毒大流行期間的封鎖造成了波動。
????殼牌表示,全球液化天然氣價格在2020年初達到創紀錄低點,但在年末收于六年高位。原因是亞洲部分地區的需求復蘇,以及供應緊張導致冬季采購增加。
????預計到2040年,亞洲將拉動近75%的液化天然氣需求增長,原因是國內天然氣產量下降,以及液化天然氣替代了排放更高的能源。
????中國到2060年實現碳中和的目標,預計將繼續推高其液化天然氣需求。
????《展望》顯示,隨著投產的新產量低于此前預期,供需缺口預計將在本十年中葉出現。
????2020年公布的液化天然氣新產能只有300萬噸,低于預期的6000萬噸。
????朱佳妮 摘譯自 能源新聞
????原文如下:
????Global LNG demand expected to almost double by 2040 –Shell
????Global liquefied natural gas (LNG) demand is expected to almost double to 700 million tonnes by 2040, Royal Dutch Shell said in its annual LNG market outlook.
????Demand was 360 million tonnes last year, up slightly from 2019's 358 million tonnes, despite volatility caused by lockdowns during the coronavirus pandemic.
????Global LNG prices hit a record low early in 2020 but ended the year at a six-year high as demand in parts of Asia recovered and winter buying increased amid tightened supply, Shell said.
????Asia is expected to drive nearly 75% of LNG demand growth to 2040 as domestic gas production declines and LNG substitutes higher emission energy sources.
????A gap between supply and demand is expected to open in the middle of this decade with less new production coming on stream than previously projected, the outlook showed.
????only 3 million tonnes of new LNG production capacity was announced in 2020, down from an expected 60 million tonnes.