???? 據今日油價網站2月3日消息 美國能源信息署(EIA)在其備受期待的年度能源展望(AEO2021)中表示,美國石油產量在2020年大幅下降,但預計將在短短兩年內回升,甚至創下新紀錄。
????EIA表示,美國石油產量將在2023年超過2019年達到的1225萬桶/日的年平均產量。
????2020年,截至3月13日的一周內,美國石油產量已達到日均1310萬桶的高位。但在8月份石油產量急劇下降,一度跌破1000萬桶/日之后,疫情年份的整體年平均水平要低得多。
????然而,美國的能源消耗將需要數年時間才能恢復到2019年的水平,確切地說是8年。然而,EIA指出,這一預測在很大程度上取決于美國經濟復蘇的步伐。
????根據AEO2021的數據,電力需求預計到2025年將再次恢復到2019年的水平,這一復蘇速度低于美國石油產量,而美國石油產量也有出口市場可供利用。
????王磊 摘譯自 今日油價
????原文如下:
????U.S. Oil Production On Course To Hit Record Levels In 2023
????U.S. oil production fell sharply in 2020, but the Energy Information Administration is expecting it to pick back up and even set new records in just two years, it said in its much-anticipated annual energy outlook (AEO2021).
????According to the EIA, U.S. oil production will surpass in 2023 its previous annual average of 12.25 million barrels per day, achieved in 2019.
????In 2020, U.S. oil production had reached a high of 13.1 million bpd on average for week ending March 13. But the overall annual average for the pandemic year was much lower after oil production fell sharply in August, briefly dipping below 10 million barrels per day.
????U.S. energy consumption, however, will take years to return to 2019 levels—eight years to be exact. The EIA notes, however, that “that projection is highly dependent on the pace of U.S. economic recovery.”
????Electricity demand, according to the AEO2021, is expected to return to 2019 levels by 2025—again, a slower recovery than U.S. oil production, which also has export markets to draw on.