???? 據(jù)今日油價(jià)網(wǎng)站2月3日消息 美國(guó)能源信息署（EIA）在其備受期待的年度能源展望（AEO2021）中表示，美國(guó)石油產(chǎn)量在2020年大幅下降，但預(yù)計(jì)將在短短兩年內(nèi)回升，甚至創(chuàng)下新紀(jì)錄。

????EIA表示，美國(guó)石油產(chǎn)量將在2023年超過(guò)2019年達(dá)到的1225萬(wàn)桶/日的年平均產(chǎn)量。

????2020年，截至3月13日的一周內(nèi)，美國(guó)石油產(chǎn)量已達(dá)到日均1310萬(wàn)桶的高位。但在8月份石油產(chǎn)量急劇下降，一度跌破1000萬(wàn)桶/日之后，疫情年份的整體年平均水平要低得多。

????然而，美國(guó)的能源消耗將需要數(shù)年時(shí)間才能恢復(fù)到2019年的水平，確切地說(shuō)是8年。然而，EIA指出，這一預(yù)測(cè)在很大程度上取決于美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇的步伐。

????根據(jù)AEO2021的數(shù)據(jù)，電力需求預(yù)計(jì)到2025年將再次恢復(fù)到2019年的水平，這一復(fù)蘇速度低于美國(guó)石油產(chǎn)量，而美國(guó)石油產(chǎn)量也有出口市場(chǎng)可供利用。

????王磊 摘譯自 今日油價(jià)

????原文如下：

????U.S. Oil Production On Course To Hit Record Levels In 2023

????U.S. oil production fell sharply in 2020, but the Energy Information Administration is expecting it to pick back up and even set new records in just two years, it said in its much-anticipated annual energy outlook (AEO2021).

????According to the EIA, U.S. oil production will surpass in 2023 its previous annual average of 12.25 million barrels per day, achieved in 2019.

????In 2020, U.S. oil production had reached a high of 13.1 million bpd on average for week ending March 13. But the overall annual average for the pandemic year was much lower after oil production fell sharply in August, briefly dipping below 10 million barrels per day.

????U.S. energy consumption, however, will take years to return to 2019 levels—eight years to be exact. The EIA notes, however, that “that projection is highly dependent on the pace of U.S. economic recovery.”

????Electricity demand, according to the AEO2021, is expected to return to 2019 levels by 2025—again, a slower recovery than U.S. oil production, which also has export markets to draw on.