???? 據(jù)今日油價2月3日報道，歐佩克聯(lián)合技術(shù)委員會(JTC)周二通過視頻會議表示，預(yù)計今年全球石油需求將增長560萬桶/天，低于此前增長590萬桶/天的預(yù)期。JTC報告稱，2020年的平均需求估計為9000萬桶/天，2021年需求增長預(yù)估與去年12月持平，但警告稱，疫情將導(dǎo)致向下行風(fēng)險傾斜。
????關(guān)于石油生產(chǎn)，JTC小組發(fā)現(xiàn)，12月份所有歐佩克+成員國的石油生產(chǎn)總量超過配額7.2萬桶。歐佩克+產(chǎn)油國在2020年12月的減產(chǎn)協(xié)議遵守率為99%，低于11月的101%。
????歐佩克秘書長穆罕默德·巴爾金多(Mohammad Barkindo)在JTC會議開幕式上表示，全球石油市場和世界經(jīng)濟的前景正在改善，全球經(jīng)濟在去年萎縮4.1%后，預(yù)計今年將增長4.4%。
????巴爾金多表示:“隨著原油市場目前轉(zhuǎn)向現(xiàn)貨溢價，我們希望2021年將是總體需求良好的一年。”
????王佳晶 摘譯自 今日油價
????原文如下：
????OPEC+ Now Sees Weaker Oil Demand Growth For 2021
????OPEC+ expects global oil demand to rise by 5.6 million barrels per day (bpd) this year—lower estimated growth than OPEC’s assessment of 5.9-million-bpd demand increase from less than three weeks ago, according to the group’s Joint Technical Committee (JTC), which met via videoconference on Tuesday.
????Last year, oil demand is estimated to have crashed by 9.72 million bpd, Amena Bakr, Deputy Bureau Chief and Chief Opec Correspondent at Energy Intelligence, tweeted quoting the JTC’s assessment, which also notes that this year, global oil demand is forecast to rise by 5.60 million bpd compared to 2020.
????Less than three weeks ago, OPEC said it expected demand to rise by 5.9 million bpd in 2021 from an estimated average demand of 90 million bpd in 2020, leaving its 2021 demand growth forecast unchanged from December but warning that the pandemic was still skewing risks to the downside.
????Regarding oil production, the JTC panel found that total oil production from all OPEC+ members exceeded the required quotas by 72,000 bpd in December, Bakr tweeted.
????Sources at the OPEC+ group told Reuters last week that the producers part of the OPEC+ alliance complied with the oil output cuts at 99 percent in December 2020, down from 101 percent compliance in November.
????Opening the JTC meeting today, OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo said the prospects for the global oil market and the world economy were improving, with global economy expected to grow by 4.4 percent this year, after a 4.1-percent contraction last year.
????“With the crude oil market currently switching into backwardation, we are hopeful that 2021 will be a good year for overall demand,” Barkindo said.
