???? 據(jù)Oil & Gas Journal網(wǎng)站3月22日消息 美國(guó)石油學(xué)會(huì)(API)最新月度統(tǒng)計(jì)報(bào)告顯示,2月份,按國(guó)內(nèi)石油總產(chǎn)量計(jì)算,美國(guó)石油需求為1930萬桶/日,與1月份相比下降1.7%,與2020年2月相比下降2.5%,考慮到2020年COVID-19衰退和冬季相關(guān)的中斷,這一比例相對(duì)強(qiáng)勁。
????以汽車汽油交付量衡量,2月份消費(fèi)汽油需求為790萬桶/日,比1月增長(zhǎng)了1.2%,但比2020年2月下降11.6%。過去10年來,2月份汽油需求平均增速比1月份增長(zhǎng)3.4%,因此今年1.2%的變化不到歷史季節(jié)性的一半。因此,最近的大部分駕駛活動(dòng)可能是出于必要性,而不是可以隨意旅行,因?yàn)檫@種旅行可能會(huì)產(chǎn)生歷史上觀察到的更高的季節(jié)變化。
????2月,410萬桶/日的餾分油需求量比1月增長(zhǎng)2.9%,同比增長(zhǎng)3.1%。因此,到2021年,餾分油/柴油燃料需求繼續(xù)超過其COVID-19之前的水平。2月份,DAT iQ行業(yè)趨勢(shì)線顯示,現(xiàn)貨平板、貨車和冷藏車負(fù)荷增長(zhǎng)強(qiáng)勁。由于運(yùn)力依然緊張,貨運(yùn)量溢出至聯(lián)運(yùn)和鐵路行業(yè)。
????2月份噴氣燃料的供應(yīng)量為110萬桶/日,比1月減少了6%,比2020年2月的水平下降30.4%。這與Flightradar24高頻數(shù)據(jù)一致,該數(shù)據(jù)顯示,與2020年1月和2月的航班相比,數(shù)據(jù)有所下降。
????2月份,用于電力生產(chǎn)、空間加熱、工業(yè)應(yīng)用和船用燃料的剩余燃料油的交付量為28萬桶/日,這反映出,1月份季節(jié)性大幅增長(zhǎng)52.2%,與2020年2月相比,增長(zhǎng)88.7%,接近五年期的最高水平。
????2月份,主要用于煉油和石化制造的石腦油、汽油和丙烷/丙烯(其他油)等液體原料的交付量為590萬桶/日,同比增長(zhǎng)20.7%,為2月份的新高。不過,590萬桶/日的季節(jié)性下降,較1月份創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的650萬桶/日有所下降,這可能是由于煉油廠和石化廠因寒潮中斷以及2月為短月所致。盡管如此,其他石油占當(dāng)月美國(guó)石油需求總量的30.4%,而2016-2020年,其他石油的平均份額為24.7%。
????王磊 摘譯自 Oil & Gas Journal
????原文如下:
????API: US February petroleum demand down 2.5% year-over-year
????In February, US petroleum demand, as measured by total domestic petroleum deliveries, was 19.3 million b/d, according to the latest monthly statistical report from the American Petroleum Institute (API). This reflected decreases of 1.7% from January and 2.5% compared with February 2020 – relatively strong considering the 2020 COVID-19 recession and winter-related disruptions.
????Consumer gasoline demand, measured by motor gasoline deliveries, was 7.9 million b/d in February. This represented an increase of 1.2% from January but an 11.6% decrease compared with February 2020. On average over the past 10 years, gasoline demand growth in the month of February averaged 3.4% m/m over that of January, so the 1.2% m/m change this year was less than half of the historical seasonality. Consequently, much of recent driving activity was likely borne out of necessity, as opposed to discretionary travel that could have produced the higher seasonal variation that has been historically observed.
????In February, distillate deliveries of 4.1 million b/d rose by 2.9% from January and 3.1% y/y. Consequently, distillate / diesel fuel demand continued to exceed its pre-COVID-19 levels so far in 2021. DAT iQ industry trendlines showed strong growth of spot flatbed, van, and reefer truck loads in February. As capacity remained tight, freight volumes spilled into the intermodal and rail sectors.
????Jet fuel deliveries were 1.1 million b/d in February, which was a decrease of 6% from January and 30.4% below the level of February 2020. This was consistent with Flightradar24 high-frequency data that showed a drop versus flights in January and February 2020.
????Deliveries of residual fuel oil, which is used in electric power production, space heating, industrial applications and as a marine bunker fuel, were 0.28 million b/d in February. This reflected sharp seasonal increases of 52.2% from January and 88.7% compared with February 2020 to near the top of the five-year range.
????Deliveries of liquid feedstocks, such as naphtha, gasoil, and propane/propylene (other oils) used primarily in refining and petrochemical manufacturing, were 5.9 million b/d in February. This was an increase of 20.7% y/y and a new high for the month of February. However, the 5.9 million b/d reflected a seasonal decrease from the record 6.5 million b/d in January, likely due to refining and petrochemical plant disruptions with the cold snap as well as February being a short month. Even still, other oils represented 30.4% of total US petroleum demand for the month, compared with its average 24.7% share between 2016 and 2020.
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