???? 據(jù)石油新聞2021年4月13日報道，由于歐佩克及其盟友計劃在未來幾個月里向市場釋放更多原油供應(yīng)，歐佩克4月13日上調(diào)了其對今年全球石油需求的預(yù)期。
????在4月13日發(fā)布的備受關(guān)注的月度石油市場報告中，歐佩克將其對全球石油需求的預(yù)測從3月份的估計上調(diào)了19萬桶/天，預(yù)計今年全球石油日均消費量將達到9646萬桶，理由是經(jīng)濟刺激計劃和進一步放松COVID-19封鎖措施。
????歐佩克在報告中預(yù)計今年全球石油日需求將增長595萬桶，而今年3月的預(yù)測為589萬桶。
????就在兩周前，在歐佩克+技術(shù)委員會一些成員的壓力下，歐佩克把今年全球石油需求增長預(yù)測下調(diào)了約5%，至560萬桶/天，這些成員支持維持緊張的生產(chǎn)配額。
????歐佩克及其合作伙伴最終在4月1日突然同意放寬配額，在7月前每天向市場增加供應(yīng)200多萬桶石油，寄希望于全球經(jīng)濟更強勁的復(fù)蘇。
????歐佩克+聯(lián)盟將在5月份將總產(chǎn)量上限提高35萬桶/天，6月份再提高35萬桶/天，7月份再提高44.1萬桶/天。
????與此同時，沙特阿拉伯將在5月、6月和7月分別削減25萬桶/天、35萬桶/天和40萬桶/天的配額，此前沙特一直在配額之外額外削減100萬桶/天以幫助支撐市場。
????李峻 編譯自 石油新聞
????原文如下：
????OPEC raises 2021 oil demand forecast with more supply on the way
????OPEC has increased its oil demand outlook for 2021 just as the bloc and its allies plan to unleash more crude supplies over the next few months.
????In its closely watched monthly oil market report released April 13, OPEC raised its demand forecast by 190,000 b/d from its March estimate, expecting consumption to average 96.46 million b/d this year, citing economic stimulus programs and a further easing of COVID-19 lockdown measures.
????Year on year, global oil demand was projected to grow 5.95 million b/d in 2021, compared with the 5.89 million b/d forecast in March.
????only two weeks ago, OPEC cut its 2021 oil demand growth forecast by about 5% to 5.6 million b/d after pressure by some members of an OPEC+ technical committee who favored maintaining tight production quotas.
????OPEC and its partners ended up abruptly agreeing April 1 to loosen their quotas and add more than 2 million b/d into the market by July, banking on a more robust recovery for the global economy.
????The OPEC+ alliance will raise its collective output caps by 350,000 b/d in May, another 350,000 b/d in June, and 441,000 b/d in July.
????At the same time, Saudi Arabia, which has been cutting an extra 1 million b/d on top of its quota to help bolster the market, will unwind it by 250,000 b/d in May, 350,000 b/d in June and 400,000 b/d in July.
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