???? 據(jù)今日油價(jià)5月27日?qǐng)?bào)道，挪威統(tǒng)計(jì)局周三在其季度調(diào)查中表示，與三個(gè)月前的預(yù)測(cè)相比，石油公司預(yù)計(jì)2021年在挪威近海油氣業(yè)務(wù)上的支出將增加4.8%，這得益于更多油田的投產(chǎn)。

????今年，包括管道運(yùn)輸在內(nèi)的石油和天然氣活動(dòng)的總投資估計(jì)為218億美元(1819億挪威克朗)，比上一季度的估計(jì)高出4.8%。挪威統(tǒng)計(jì)局表示，較高的投資預(yù)期主要是由油田開發(fā)和投產(chǎn)帶來的。

????自上個(gè)季度以來，該行業(yè)已向有關(guān)部門提交了兩個(gè)油氣田的開發(fā)計(jì)劃，這兩個(gè)油氣田沒有包括在此前的預(yù)期里。

????對(duì)預(yù)期投資的向上修正顯示，2021年與2020年相比，將有0.9%的小幅增長(zhǎng)。然而，目前對(duì)挪威2022年石油和天然氣投資的估計(jì)——盡管最新調(diào)查的數(shù)據(jù)高于前一次調(diào)查，仍然表明，與今年相比，明年挪威的石油和天然氣投資總體上會(huì)下降。最新的2022年投資預(yù)測(cè)為172億美元(1428億克朗)，比2月份的調(diào)查預(yù)期增長(zhǎng)了3.1%。

????去年年底，挪威石油和天然氣協(xié)會(huì)(Norwegian Oil and Gas Association)表示，與2020年相比，2021年挪威海上油氣投資將下降4.2%，降幅小于該行業(yè)在2020年初擔(dān)心的水平。該協(xié)會(huì)上周對(duì)國(guó)際能源署(IEA)的一份令人震驚的報(bào)告發(fā)表評(píng)論稱，如果世界想在2050年實(shí)現(xiàn)凈零排放，就不需要在石油和天然氣領(lǐng)域進(jìn)行新的投資。

????該機(jī)構(gòu)指出，挪威石油和天然氣公司不認(rèn)同這樣的假設(shè)，即從2050年的前景看，僅歐佩克成員國(guó)就應(yīng)占全球市場(chǎng)石油和天然氣產(chǎn)量的一半以上。該協(xié)會(huì)在一份聲明中表示，如果需求沒有像國(guó)際能源署所設(shè)想的那樣迅速下降，而供應(yīng)方面同時(shí)被切斷，全球能源供應(yīng)可能受到威脅，并導(dǎo)致能源價(jià)格變得非常高。該行業(yè)機(jī)構(gòu)還指出，停止挪威近海的石油和天然氣勘探將剝奪該國(guó)的收入和就業(yè)機(jī)會(huì)，而這些這對(duì)支持碳捕獲和封存、氫氣和海底礦產(chǎn)回收等行業(yè)來說是有必要的。

????王佳晶 摘譯自 今日油價(jià)

????原文如下：

????Norway's Oil Industry Boosts Investment Despite IEA Report

????Oil firms expect to spend 4.8 percent more on oil and gas operations offshore Norway in 2021 compared to the previous estimate three months ago, thanks to more fields coming on stream, Statistics Norway said in its quarterly survey on Wednesday.

????Total investments in oil and gas activity, including pipeline transportation, are now estimated at US$21.8 billion (181.9 billion Norwegian crowns) for this year, which is 4.8 percent higher than estimated in the previous quarter. The higher investment forecast is mainly driven by field development and fields coming on stream, Statistics Norway said.

????Since the last quarter, the industry has filed with authorities development plans for two oil and gas fields, which were not included in the previous estimate.

????The upward revision of expected investments now point to slight growth of 0.9 percent in 2021 compared to 2020.

????Yet, current estimates for investments in oil and gas in Norway in 2022—albeit higher in the latest survey than in the previous one – still point to an overall drop next year compared to this year. The latest investment forecast for 2022 is US$17.2 billion (142.8 billion crowns), up by 3.1 percent compared to the estimate in the previous survey in February.

????At the end of last year, the Norwegian Oil and Gas Association said that investments in oil and gas offshore Norway were set to decline by 4.2 percent in 2021 compared to 2020, a smaller drop than what the industry feared in early 2020.

????The association, the main industry body and employer’s organization for the sector, commented last week on the bombshell report of the International Energy Association (IEA) that suggests no new investments in oil and gas are needed if the world wants to reach net-zero emissions in 2050.

????“Norwegian Oil and Gas does not share the assumption that Opec members alone should account for more than half of oil and gas production for the world market in a 2050 perspective. If demand does not decline as rapidly as the IEA assumes in its scenario, and the supply side is simultaneously choked off, global energy provision could be threatened and lead to very high energy prices,” the association said in a statement. The industry body also noted that halting oil and gas exploration offshore Norway would deprive the country of revenues and jobs necessary for supporting industries such as carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, and recovering seabed minerals.

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