據阿拉伯貿易網2021年7月2日迪拜報道,來自國際可再生能源機構(Irena)的一份最新分析報告表示,在通往氣候安全的道路上加速能源轉型,可以使世界經濟在未來10年內的增長比目前計劃的預期增長高出2.4%。
Irena的1.5°C路徑(該機構雄心勃勃的目標是到2050年前將全球氣溫上升限制在1.5°C,并使二氧化碳排放達到零排放)預計到2050年將創造多達1.22億個與能源相關的就業崗位,是目前5800萬個就業崗位的一倍多。
Irena在其《世界能源轉型展望》報告中指出,僅可再生能源一項就將占全球所有能源工作崗位的三分之一以上,雇用4300萬人,支持新冠肺炎疫情結束后的復蘇和長期經濟增長。
報告認為,以可再生能源為基礎的能源系統將引發深刻的變革,并將在各個經濟體和社會產生影響。
資本流動的大幅調整和投資方向的重新定位是使能源與積極的經濟和環境軌道保持一致的必要條件。 報告還說,前瞻性的政策可以加速轉型,減少不確定性,并確保能源轉型的最大效益。
到2050年前,能效、可再生能源、終端使用電氣化、電網、靈活性、氫和創新將需要巨大的33萬億美元的額外投資。 然而,收益將會遠遠超過投資的成本。
如果把空氣污染、人類健康和氣候變化的外部性因素考慮在內,回報甚至更高,在能源轉型上每花一美元,就會帶來價值在2美元到5.5美元之間的收益,到本世紀中葉前收益累計將達到61萬億到164萬億美元。
李峻 編譯自 阿拉伯貿易網
原文如下:
Irena sees need for $33trn funds by 2050 for 1.5°C pathway
Accelerating energy transitions on a path to climate safety can grow the world’s economy by 2.4 percent over the expected growth of current plans within the next decade, said a new analysis from the International Renewable Energy Agency (Irena).
Irena's 1.5°C pathway - (The Agency’s ambitious goals to limit global temperature rise to 1.5°C and bring CO2 emissions to net zero by 2050) foresees the creation of up to 122 million energy-related jobs in 2050, more than double today’s 58 million.
Renewable energy alone will account for more than a third of all energy jobs employing 43 million people globally, supporting the post-Covid recovery and long-term economic growth, stated Irena in its World Energy Transitions Outlook.
It sees renewables-based energy systems instigating profound changes that will reverberate across economies and societies.
Sharp adjustments in capital flows and a reorientation of investments are necessary to align energy with a positive economic and environmental trajectory. Forward-looking policies can accelerate transition, mitigate uncertainties, and ensure maximum benefits of energy transition, it added.
By 2050, a whopping $33 trillion of additional investment will be required into efficiency, renewables, end-use electrification, power grids, flexibility, hydrogen and innovations. The benefits, however, greatly exceed the costs of investments.
When air pollution, human health and climate change externalities are factored in, the payback is even higher with every dollar spent on the energy transition adding benefits valued at between $2 and $5.5, in cumulative terms between $61 trillion and $164 trillion by the mid-century.
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