???? 據(jù)烴加工網(wǎng)站7月8日?qǐng)?bào)道 美國(guó)能源信息署表示,美國(guó)原油和汽油庫(kù)存下跌,汽油需求達(dá)到2019年以來最高水平,顯示美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力增強(qiáng)。
????截至7月2日的一周內(nèi),原油庫(kù)存減少690萬(wàn)桶,至4.455億桶,為2020年2月以來最低水平,超過路透社調(diào)查預(yù)估的400萬(wàn)桶降幅。
????由于煉油廠將更多石油加工成汽油、柴油和其他產(chǎn)品,原油庫(kù)存連續(xù)幾周穩(wěn)步下降。供應(yīng)的總產(chǎn)品(燃料終端需求的替代品)增加到2090萬(wàn)桶/日,與兩年前新冠疫情的趨勢(shì)一致。
????此外,汽油需求激增,創(chuàng)下一周紀(jì)錄,但四周平均供應(yīng)汽油為950萬(wàn)桶/日,為2019年10月以來最高水平。
????汽油庫(kù)存減少610萬(wàn)桶,超出了220萬(wàn)桶的預(yù)期。
????CHS對(duì)沖基金能源市場(chǎng)分析師托尼?海德里克表示:“毫無疑問,該報(bào)告是看漲的,因?yàn)樗械念A(yù)測(cè)都表明,汽油需求強(qiáng)勁,這是事實(shí),導(dǎo)致庫(kù)存大幅減少?!?/p>
????受此消息影響,油價(jià)上漲,擺脫了早些時(shí)候的損失。截至美國(guó)東部時(shí)間上午11:14(格林威治標(biāo)準(zhǔn)時(shí)間15:14),美國(guó)原油期貨價(jià)格上漲4美分,至72.24美元/桶,布倫特原油期貨價(jià)格上漲10美分,至73.54美元/桶。
????原油庫(kù)存下降,盡管煉油商在最近一周削減了活動(dòng),原油消耗量下降了18.4萬(wàn)桶/日,煉油廠利用率下降了0.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn),達(dá)到產(chǎn)能的92.2%。
????產(chǎn)量升至1130萬(wàn)桶/日,仍低于2019年近1300萬(wàn)桶/日的紀(jì)錄。然而,每周的生產(chǎn)數(shù)據(jù)往往不穩(wěn)定,大多數(shù)分析師認(rèn)為月度數(shù)據(jù)更可靠。
????紐約再投資公司合伙人約翰?基爾達(dá)夫表示:“盡管我們看到了1130萬(wàn)桶的小幅增長(zhǎng),但要想回到原來的水平,我們還有很長(zhǎng)的路要走?!?。
????包括柴油和取暖油在內(nèi)的餾分油庫(kù)存本周增加160萬(wàn)桶。
????王磊 摘譯自 烴加工
????原文如下:
????U.S. crude, gasoline stocks fall as fuel demand rises
????U.S. crude and gasoline stocks fell and gasoline demand reached its highest since 2019, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said, signaling increasing strength in the U.S. economy.
????Crude inventories fell by 6.9 million barrels in the week to July 2 to 445.5 million barrels, the lowest since February 2020, and more than the expected 4 million-barrel drop estimated in a Reuters poll.
????Crude stocks have declined steadily for several weeks as refiners process more oil into gasoline, diesel and other products. Overall product supplied - a proxy for demand from end-users of fuels - rose to 20.9 million barrels per day (bpd), in line with the same trend two years ago prior to the coronavirus pandemic.
????In addition, gasoline demand surged to a one-week record, but the four-week average of gasoline supplied was at 9.5 million bpd, the highest since October 2019.
????That helped lower gasoline stocks by 6.1 million barrels, exceeding expectations for a 2.2 million-barrel drop.
????“The report is bullish, there’s no doubt,” said Tony Headrick, energy market analyst at CHS Hedging. “For all of the estimates out there suggesting gasoline demand was strong that showed true, leading to a sharp drawdown in inventories.”
????Oil prices rose on the news, shaking off earlier losses. U.S. crude futures were up 4 cents to $72.24 a barrel while Brent gained 10 cents to $73.54 as of 11:14 a.m. EDT (1514 GMT).
????Crude stocks dropped even as refiners cut back activity in the most recent week, with crude runs down by 184,000 bpd, and refinery utilization rates off by 0.7 percentage points to 92.2% of capacity.
????Production rose to 11.3 million bpd, still short of the 2019 record of nearly 13 million bpd. Weekly production figures can tend to be volatile, however, and most analysts regard monthly data as more reliable.
????“Even though we saw a little bit of a rise to 11.3 million, we’ve still got a long way to go there to make it back to where we were,” said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital in New York.
????Distillate stockpiles, which include diesel and heating oil, rose by 1.6 million barrels in the week.
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