據8月11日Oil monster消息:盡管COVID-19病例激增,但有跡象表明美國燃料需求上升,周二油價從最近的下跌中反彈,漲幅超過2%。
布倫特原油價格上漲1.59美元,漲幅2.3%,收于每桶70.63美元,美國原油上漲1.81美元,漲幅2.7%,收于每桶68.29美元。
由于全球主要石油消費國的感染人數激增,這兩項合約周一均下跌約2.5%,上周創下數月來最大跌幅。
冠狀病毒Delta變種的迅速傳播使美國的病例和住院人數達到六個月來的最高水平。
盡管如此,美國能源信息署(EIA)在月度預測中表示,到目前為止,美國就業增長和流動性的增加已經推動了2021年的汽油消費。
預計2021年美國汽油消費量平均為880萬桶/天,高于2020年的800萬桶/天。盡管如此,EIA表示,由于在家工作的人越來越多,美國的汽油消費量在2022年之前仍將低于2019年的水平。
路透初步調查顯示,美國原油、汽油和其他成品油庫存上周可能有所下降,預計汽油庫存將連續第四周下降。
據兩位市場消息人士援引美國石油協會的數據稱,截至8月6日的一周,原油庫存減少了81.6萬桶。
政府庫存數據將于美國東部時間周三上午10:30公布。
美國參議院周二通過了1萬億美元的基礎設施一攬子計劃,這可能是美國幾十年來在道路、橋梁、機場和水路方面的最大投資。分析師表示,如果該法案獲得通過,將提振經濟和對石油產品的需求。
西方國家成功的疫苗接種計劃和令人鼓舞的經濟數據與東方國家不斷上升的感染率形成鮮明對比。
馮娟 摘譯自 oil monster
原文如下:
Oil Up More Than 2%, Boosted by Forecast for U.S. Fuel Demand
Oil prices rose more than 2% on Tuesday, rebounding from recent losses on signs of rising fuel demand in the United States despite a surge in COVID-19 cases.
Brent crude rose $1.59, or 2.3%, to settle at $70.63 a barrel and U.S. oil climbed $1.81, or 2.7%, to end the session at $68.29 a barrel.
Both contracts dropped around 2.5% on Monday, and last week notched their biggest losses in months as infections surged in major global oil consumers.
"Predicting short-term price swings has become extremely difficult given the arduous process of predicting the impact of the Delta variant on forward global oil demand, particularly in countries ," said Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Associates LLC in Galena, Illinois.
The rapid spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus has pushed cases and hospitalizations in the United States to a six-month high.
Still, U.S. job growth and increasing mobility have boosted gasoline consumption so far in 2021, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said in a monthly forecast.
U.S. gasoline consumption is expected to average 8.8 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2021, up from 8 million bpd in 2020. Still, the EIA said U.S. gasoline consumption will remain below 2019 levels through 2022 due to the proliferation of people working from home.
U.S. crude, gasoline, and other product inventories are likely to have dropped last week, with gasoline stocks forecast to fall for a fourth consecutive week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed.
Crude stocks fell by 816,000 barrels for the week ended Aug. 6, according to two market sources, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.
Government data on inventories are due at 10:30 a.m. ET on Wednesday.
The U.S. Senate on Tuesday passed a $1 trillion infrastructure package that could serve as the nation's biggest investment in decades in roads, bridges, airports and waterways. If enacted, the bill would boost the economy and demand for oil products, analysts said.
Successful vaccination programmes in the West and encouraging economic data come in sharp contrast to rising infections in the East.
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