據(jù)油價網(wǎng)7月30日消息:據(jù)英國《金融時報》報道,由于天然氣供應(yīng)趨緊、歐洲產(chǎn)量下降以及俄羅斯出口減少,整個歐洲和亞洲的天然氣價格都在上漲,并指出供應(yīng)緊張可能在未來幾周加劇。
報告指出,在歐洲,天然氣價格首次達(dá)到40歐元/兆瓦時,英國天然氣價格達(dá)到16年來的最高水平。這相當(dāng)于每百萬英熱單位14美元。在亞洲,天然氣價格已達(dá)到每百萬英熱15美元。
分析師表示,價格形勢可能會進(jìn)一步惡化。
ICIS的Tom Marzec-Manser告訴英國《金融時報》:“令人驚訝的是,市場沒有出現(xiàn)更多擔(dān)憂。就額外供應(yīng)而言,全球范圍內(nèi)沒有太多選擇。俄羅斯確實(shí)是唯一可自由支配的供應(yīng)來源,但我們不知道何時會開始額外的供應(yīng)。因此,從日本到巴西,世界各地的交易員也開始關(guān)注歐洲的價格。”
全球天然氣需求強(qiáng)勁反彈。經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇并不是唯一的因素。例如,據(jù)英國《金融時報》報道,在巴西,液化天然氣進(jìn)口量創(chuàng)歷史新高,因?yàn)楦珊到档土嗽搰乃姰a(chǎn)能。在歐洲,漫長的冬季使得儲氣設(shè)施空空如也,而且還沒有得到補(bǔ)充。在亞洲,強(qiáng)勁的經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇加上夏季的季節(jié)性需求高峰進(jìn)一步推高了價格。
對一些人來說,這是個好消息:美國液化天然氣出口在今年上半年創(chuàng)下歷史新高,平均每天96億立方英尺。EIA估計(jì),2021年1月至5月,亞洲仍是美國液化天然氣出口的最大目的地,占美國液化天然氣出口總量的46%。緊隨其后的是歐洲,占美國液化天然氣出口的37%。
馮娟 摘譯自 油價網(wǎng)
原文如下:
Natural Gas Deficit Causes Prices To Soar
Natural gas prices are rising across Europe and Asia due to tighter supply of the commodity, lower production in Europe, and lower exports from Russia, the Financial Times reports, noting the supply crunch may intensify in the coming weeks.
In Europe, the report notes, prices for natural gas have hit 40 euros per mWh for the first time ever, with UK gas prices at the highest in 16 years. This is equal to approximately $14 per million British thermal units. In Asia, gas prices have hit $15 per mmBtu.
The price situation may worsen still, according to analysts.
“If anything it’s surprising there hasn’t been more concern,” Tom Marzec-Manser at ICIS told the FT. “In terms of additional supply there aren’t many options on the table globally. Russia is really the only discretionary source of supplies out there but we don’t know when additional deliveries might start. So traders around the world, from Japan to Brazil, are starting to watch European prices too.”
Demand for natural gas has been on a strong rebound globally. And the economic recovery has not been the only factor. In Brazil, for instance, LNG imports hit the highest ever because droughts have reduced the country’s hydropower capacity, according to the FT. in Europe, the long winter emptied gas storage facilities, and they have yet to be replenished. In Asia, the strong economic recovery has coupled with a seasonal peak in demand during the summer to push prices higher still.
For some, this has been good news: U.S. exports of liquefied natural gas reached a record high during the first half of the year, at an average of 9.6 billion cu ft daily. Asia remained the top destination for U.S. LNG exports from January through May in 2021, accounting for 46 percent, the EIA has estimated. Asia was followed by Europe with a 37-percent share of American LNG exports.
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