據管道&天然氣雜志網1月3日倫敦報道，盡管歐佩克+似乎將同意進一步增加產量，并且對冠狀病毒病例上升對需求的影響的擔憂持續存在，但受供應緊張和2022年需求進一步復蘇的希望所支撐，周一油價上漲至每桶 78美元以上。

預計歐佩克及其盟國（即歐佩克+）周二將同意增產。奧密克戎冠狀病毒變種帶來了創紀錄的病例數，并影響了全球的新年慶祝活動，周日有4000多個航班取消。

格林尼治標準時間14：44，布倫特原油上漲39美分，漲幅0.5%，至每桶78.17美元，此前曾一度上漲至79.05美元。美國西德克薩斯中質原油(WTI)下跌25美分，至74.96美元，跌幅0.3%。

石油經紀商PVM的塔瑪斯?瓦爾加(Tamas Varga)表示，全球感染率正在上升，一些國家正在實施限制措施，航空旅游等行業受到影響，但投資者的樂觀情緒是切實可見的。簡言之，2021證明，盡管抗疫勝利之路充滿了意想不到的曲折，但我們可以打贏這場戰爭。

隨著奧密克戎變種新冠肺炎病例的記錄席卷全國，許多通常會在周一重返課堂的美國學校正在推遲開學日期，忙著對學生和教師進行測試，并準備將重返遠程學習作為最后的手段。

去年，在全球從新冠疫情和OPEC+減產中復蘇的推動下，布倫特原油上漲了50%，盡管全球感染人數創下歷史新高。

一些人認為2022年將增長更多。

包括Giovanni Staunovo在內的瑞銀分析師在一份報告中表示，原油和石油產品價格應受益于石油需求將升至2019年水平之上。我們預計，布倫特原油價格將在2022年升至每桶80美元-90美元。

郝芬 譯自 管道&天然氣雜志網

原文如下：

Oil Rises Above $78 on Optimism about 2022 Outlook

Oil rose above $78 a barrel on Monday, supported by tight supply and hopes of a further demand recovery in 2022, despite OPEC+ looking set to agree to a further output increase and concern persisting about the demand impact of rising coronavirus cases.

OPEC and its allies, or OPEC+, are expected on Tuesday to agree to the output hike. The Omicron coronavirus variant has brought record case counts and dampened New Year festivities worldwide, with more than 4,000 flights cancelled on Sunday.

Brent crude was up 39 cents, or 0.5%, to $78.17 a barrel at 1444 GMT, having earlier risen as high as $79.05. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude slipped 25 cents or 0.3%, to $74.96.

"Infection rates are on the rise globally, restrictions are being introduced in several countries, the air travel sector, amongst others, is suffering, yet investors' optimism is tangible," said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.

"In a nutshell, 2021 demonstrated that the war against the coronavirus is a winnable one although the path to victory is paved with unexpected twists and turns."

Many U.S. schools that would normally welcome students back to classrooms on Monday are delaying their start dates, scrambling to test pupils and teachers and preparing, as a last resort, to return to remote learning as record COVID-19 cases from the Omicron variant sweep the country.

Oil gained some support from an outage in Libya. Oil output will be cut by 200,000 barrels per day for a week due to pipeline maintenance.

Last year, Brent rose 50%, spurred by the global recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and OPEC+ supply cuts, even as infections reached record highs worldwide.

Some see more gains in 2022.

"Crude and oil product prices should benefit from oil demand moving above 2019 levels," said a report from UBS analysts including Giovanni Staunovo. "We expect Brent to rise into a $80–90 range in 2022."

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