據(jù)原油新聞4月13日消息稱，美國(guó)能源情報(bào)署(EIA)周二在一份報(bào)告中預(yù)測(cè)，到2022年，美國(guó)的天然氣消費(fèi)量將平均為841億立方英尺/天，比2021年增長(zhǎng)1%。

EIA在其4月份的短期能源展望(STEO)中表示，這一增長(zhǎng)是由于預(yù)測(cè)2022年的氣溫較2021年更低，這將導(dǎo)致住宅和商業(yè)部門的消費(fèi)量增加。

此外，該報(bào)告在月度預(yù)測(cè)中說(shuō)，美國(guó)工業(yè)部門將在2022年消耗更多的天然氣，以應(yīng)對(duì)不斷擴(kuò)大的經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)。

報(bào)告預(yù)測(cè)，到2023年，美國(guó)天然氣平均消費(fèi)量將達(dá)到847億立方英尺/天。

報(bào)告稱，上個(gè)月美國(guó)液化天然氣出口平均為119億立方英尺/天，比2月增加了7億立方英尺/天，預(yù)計(jì)美國(guó)液化天然氣出口的高水平將在2022年繼續(xù)，全年平均為122億立方英尺/天，比2021年增加25%。

報(bào)告稱，美國(guó)干天然氣產(chǎn)量將平均為974億立方英尺/天，比2021年增加38億立方英尺/天，并預(yù)測(cè)到2023年平均為1009億立方英尺/天。

報(bào)告稱，可再生能源發(fā)電的增加也將導(dǎo)致煤炭發(fā)電的份額從2021年和2022年的23%下降到2023年的21%，并補(bǔ)充說(shuō)，核能發(fā)電在預(yù)測(cè)中相對(duì)穩(wěn)定，在全國(guó)的平均份額為20%。

該報(bào)告稱，隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)的增加和能源使用的增加，美國(guó)能源相關(guān)的二氧化碳排放量在2021年增加6%以上，預(yù)計(jì)2022年能源相關(guān)的二氧化碳排放量將激增2%，主要原因是與交通相關(guān)的石油消費(fèi)不斷增長(zhǎng)。

曹海斌 摘譯自 原油新聞

原文如下：

U.S. Consumption of Natural Gas to Increase: EIA

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecast in a report on Tuesday that the consumption of natural gas in the country will average 84.1 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2022, up 1 percent from 2021.

In its April's Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA said the increase is a result of colder forecast temperatures in 2022 compared with 2021, which results in more consumption in the residential and commercial sectors.

In addition, the U.S. industrial sector will consume more natural gas in 2022 in response to expanding economic activity, said the report in its monthly forecast.

The U.S. natural gas consumption will average 84.7 Bcf/d in 2023, the report forecast.

U.S. LNG exports averaged 11.9 Bcf/d last month, an increase of 0.7 Bcf/d from February, said the report, expecting high levels of U.S. LNG exports to continue in 2022, averaging 12.2 Bcf/d for the year, a 25 percent increase from 2021.

U.S. dry natural gas production will average 97.4 Bcf/d, 3.8 Bcf/d more than in 2021, said the report, forecasting an average of 100.9 Bcf/d in 2023.

Increasing renewable generation will also lead to the decline of coal's share of generation from 23 percent in both 2021 and 2022 to 21 percent by 2023, said the report, adding that nuclear generation remains relatively constant in the forecast at an average share of 20 percent in the country.

U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions increased by more than 6 percent in 2021 as economic activity increased and contributed to rising energy use, said the report, expecting a 2 percent surge in energy-related CO2 emissions in 2022, primarily from growing transportation-related petroleum consumption.