據(jù)美國鉆井網(wǎng)站2022年4月18日報道， 美國能源情報署(EIA)在其最近發(fā)布的4月份《短期能源展望(STEO)》報告中下調(diào)了其對今明兩年布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨平均價格的預(yù)測。
根據(jù)最新的STEO，EIA現(xiàn)在預(yù)計今年布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨平均價格為每桶103.37美元，比其3月份的STEO中做出的今年布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨平均價格預(yù)測(105.22美元/桶)每桶下降了近2美元。
展望2023年，EIA在其最新STEO報告中上調(diào)了布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨平均價格預(yù)測。 EIA在其4月份的STEO報告中預(yù)計布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨平均價格平均為每桶92.57美元，而3月份的STEO預(yù)計明年布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨價格平均為每桶88.98美元。
EIA在4月份的STEO報告中表示：“3月份布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨平均均價為每桶117美元，較2月份每桶上漲了20美元。”
EIA在STEO中補(bǔ)充道：“原油價格上漲。 對石油供應(yīng)進(jìn)一步中斷的可能性造成了巨大的市場不確定性。 這些事件發(fā)生在低石油庫存和持續(xù)上漲的油價壓力的背景下。”
在最新的STEO報告中，EIA概述稱，預(yù)計今年第二季度布倫特原油平均價格將為每桶108美元，在今年下半年平均價格將為每桶102美元，隨后在明年下降。 然而，EIA強(qiáng)調(diào)，這一價格預(yù)測“高度不確定”。
李峻 編譯自 美國鉆井網(wǎng)站
原文如下：
USA Energy Body Lowers 2022 Brent Oil Price Forecast
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) lowered its 2022 Brent spot average price forecast in its April Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) report, which was released recently.
According to the latest STEO, the EIA now sees Brent spot prices averaging $103.37 per barrel this year, which marks a near $2 drop from its previous 2022 Brent spot price average price forecast of $105.22 per barrel, which was made in the EIA’s March STEO.
Looking ahead to 2023, the EIA increased its Brent spot price forecast in its latest STEO. The organization’s April STEO sees Brent spot prices averaging $92.57 per barrel, while its March STEO saw Brent spot prices averaging $88.98 per barrel.
“The Brent crude oil spot price averaged $117 per barrel in March, a $20 per barrel increase from February,” the EIA stated in its April STEO.
“Crude oil prices increased following and other actions contributed to falling oil production in Russia and created significant market uncertainties about the potential for further oil supply disruptions. These events occurred against a backdrop of low oil inventories and persistent upward oil price pressures,” the EIA added in the STEO.
In its latest STEO, the EIA outlined that it expects the Brent price will average $108 per barrel in the second quarter of 2022 and $102 per barrel in the second half of 2022, before falling next year. The organization highlighted, however, that this price forecast was “highly uncertain”.
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