據能源網7月8日華盛頓報道,花旗集團(Citigroup Inc.)全球大宗商品研究主管Ed Morse表示,由于燃料價格上漲,石油需求前景可能會進一步下調。
Morse周三在接受彭博電視采訪時表示,幾乎所有人都降低了今年的需求預期。花旗集團將其預測下調了約三分之一,至每天240萬至250萬桶,與美國能源情報署和國際能源署的預測類似。需求的增長根本沒有達到人們預期的程度。
隨著全球需求回升,各國經濟緩慢擺脫疫情影響,今年油價飆升。盡管原油價格徘徊在每桶100美元附近,但花旗重申油價基本預期為每桶85美元,并補充稱供應“加速”進入年底。
Morse表示,我們不認為亞洲大國的需求會迅速增長。并指出其今年一直在增加庫存。
郝芬 譯自 能源網
原文如下:
Citi’s Morse Says Oil Demand Will See Further Downward Revisions -Bloomberg
The outlook for oil demand likely will see further downward revisions amid higher fuel prices, said Ed Morse, global head of commodity research at Citigroup Inc.
“Almost everybody has reduced their expectations of demand for the year,” Morse said in a Bloomberg Television interview Wednesday. Citigroup reduced its forecast by about a third to 2.4 million-2.5 million barrels a day, similar to the US Energy Information Administration and the International Energy Agency. “Demand is simply not growing on an empirical basis to the degree that people had expected.”
Oil prices have soared this year as global demand returned with economies slowly emerging from the pandemic. While crude prices are hovering around $100 a barrel, Citigroup reiterated its base case for oil prices at $85 a barrel, adding that supply is “accelerating” into year-end.
“We don’t see the burgeoning demand coming out of the big country in Asia,” Morse said, noting that the nation has been building stockpiles this year.
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