據(jù)美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站6月29日?qǐng)?bào)道,“在每桶100美元到109.99美元之間。”在美國(guó)達(dá)拉斯聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行最新舉行的第二季度能源調(diào)查中,134家石油和天然氣公司的高管對(duì)西得克薩斯中質(zhì)原油(WTI)的價(jià)格到今年年底時(shí)的預(yù)測(cè)中,這是最受歡迎的回答。
只有不到30%的參與者選擇了這個(gè)回答,第二受歡迎的回答是每桶120美元到129.99美元。達(dá)拉斯聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行第二季度能源調(diào)查結(jié)果顯示,超過(guò)10%的參與者預(yù)計(jì)WTI原油價(jià)格在今年年底將跌至每桶90美元以下,略低于10%的參與者預(yù)計(jì)WTI原油價(jià)格在今年年底將觸及每桶140美元或更高。
達(dá)拉斯聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行能源調(diào)查強(qiáng)調(diào),第二季度能源調(diào)查的均值觸及每桶107.93美元,低預(yù)估為每桶65美元,高預(yù)估為每桶160美元。調(diào)查期間,WTI原油的價(jià)格為每桶119.56美元。
據(jù)達(dá)拉斯聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行能源調(diào)查結(jié)果顯示,在第一季度調(diào)查中,對(duì)年末WTI油價(jià)的平均預(yù)測(cè)為每桶93.26美元,最低預(yù)測(cè)為每桶50美元,最高預(yù)測(cè)為每桶200美元。第一季度調(diào)查時(shí)的WTI原油價(jià)格為每桶103.07美元。
美國(guó)能源信息署6月7日發(fā)布的最新短期能源展望(STEO)報(bào)告顯示,今年WTI原油現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格平均為每桶102.47美元。據(jù)STEO預(yù)測(cè),今年第四季度WTI原油現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格將為每桶93美元。
根據(jù)日前發(fā)給美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站的一份報(bào)告,惠譽(yù)解決方案國(guó)家風(fēng)險(xiǎn)與行業(yè)研究公司認(rèn)為,今年WTI原油的平均價(jià)格為每桶97美元。
截至發(fā)稿時(shí),WTI原油的交易價(jià)格為每桶112.37美元。今年年初,這種大宗商品價(jià)格略高于每桶70美元左右的關(guān)口,今年以來(lái)曾多次報(bào)收于每桶120美元關(guān)口以上。
李峻 編譯自 美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站
原文如下:
Where Will WTI Oil Price be at End-2022?
Between $100 and $109.99 per barrel.
That was the most popular response by executives from 134 oil and gas firms when asked, as part of the latest Dallas Fed Energy Survey, where they expected the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price to be at the end of 2022.
Just under 30 percent of the participants chose the response, with the second most popular response being between $120.00 and $129.99 per barrel. Over 10 percent of participants see WTI coming in at under $90 per barrel at the end of the year and just under 10 percent see the commodity hitting $140 or more at the end of 2022, the second quarter (2Q) Dallas Fed Energy Survey showed.
The survey average for 2Q hit $107.93 per barrel, with a low forecast of $65 per barrel and a high forecast of $160 per barrel, the Dallas Fed Energy Survey highlighted. The WTI price during the survey was shown to be $119.56.
In its first quarter survey, the average WTI price prediction for the year-end WTI oil price was $93.26 per barrel, with a low forecast of $50 per barrel and a high forecast of $200 per barrel, the latest Dallas Fed Energy Survey pointed out. The WTI price during this survey was shown to be $103.07 per barrel.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) latest short term energy outlook (STEO), which was released June 7, sees the WTI spot price averaging $102.47 per barrel this year. According to the STEO, the WTI spot price will average $93 per barrel in the fourth quarter of 2022.
Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research sees the WTI price averaging $97 per barrel this year, according to a report sent to Rigzone last Friday.
At the time of writing, WTI is trading at $112.37 per barrel. The commodity started the year just above the mid-$70 mark and has since gone on to close above the $120 mark on several occasions this year.
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