據鉆機地帶7月12日報道,在所有石油消費經濟體中,由于產品供應緊張和汽油價格高企,石油消費應力線正在繼續形成。
這是根據能源和環境地理分析公司Kayrros發布的一份新的市場報告得出的,該報告強調美國的柴油需求和汽油需求已經下滑。
Kayrros在周末發給Rigzone的通知中表示,美國的柴油需求,在疫情期間從網上購物中受益匪淺,長期以來似乎不受價格上漲的影響,上周下降到低于一年前的水平,與最近報告的主要零售商的網上訂單增長下降一致。并補充道,美國的汽油需求顯示出更明顯的疲軟跡象。美國公路客運量在5月底之前一直異常強勁,但自陣亡將士紀念日周末(傳統上被視為駕駛高峰期的開始)前后以來,一直低于去年的水平。
根據一張概述美國道路汽油消費量的圖表,這張圖表也包含在報告中,其中還包括2019年的數據,在最近一次同比下降之前,上一次汽油需求低于去年水平也是在4月份。
Kayrros在報告中總結道,近期美國最終用戶汽油需求增長放緩是在“較高的基線”以及美國汽油庫存“處于七年低點”的背景下發生的。
在本月早些時候發給Rigzone的另一份市場報告中,Kayrros指出,美國的夏季駕駛季開始緩慢。
根據美國AAA天然氣價格網站的數據顯示,7月12日,美國常規汽油均價為每加侖4.655美元。根據AAA網站顯示,昨天的平均價格為每加侖4.678美元,一周前的平均價為每升4.800美元,上個月的平均值為每汽油5.010美元,而一年前平均值是每加侖3.147美元。根據該網站的數據顯示,常規汽油的最高紀錄平均價格出現在6月14日,為每加侖5.016美元。
根據AAA網站顯示,截至7月12日,美國柴油平均價格為每加侖5.625美元。昨天的平均價格為5.642美元/加侖,一周前的平均值為5.726美元每加侖,根據AAA網站的數據,一個月前的平均價格為每加侖5.771美元,而一年前平均價格是每加侖3.265美元。該網站指出,柴油的最高平均價格紀錄出現在6月19日,為5.816美元。
郝芬 譯自 鉆機地帶
原文如下:
USA Diesel and Gasoline Demand Slip
Across oil-consuming economies, stress lines in oil consumption are continuing to form amid tight product supplies and high pump prices.
That’s according to a new market note from energy and environmental geo-analytics company Kayrros, which highlighted that U.S. diesel demand and U.S. gasoline demand had slipped.
“U.S. diesel demand, which had strongly benefited from online shopping during Covid and had long seemed impervious to rising prices, last week slipped below year-ago levels, in line with recent reports of sagging growth in online orders from major retailers,” Kayrros stated in the note, which was sent to Rigzone over the weekend.
“U.S. gasoline demand shows even clearer signs of losing steam. U.S. passenger road transportation has been exceptionally strong until late May but has remained consistently below last year’s level since around Memorial Day weekend, traditionally seen as the kickoff of the peak driving season,” Kayrros added.
According to a graph outlining on-road gasoline consumption in the U.S., which was also included in the note and which also included data stretching back to 2019, prior to the latest stretch of year on year declines, the last time gasoline demand slipped below last year’s levels was also in April.
In the note, Kayrros conceded that the recent slowdown in U.S. end-user gasoline demand growth occurs from a “high baseline” and against the backdrop of U.S. gasoline inventories “reported at seven-year lows”.
Kayrros also stated in the note that its measurements of end-user gasoline demand had been consistently higher than U.S. official estimates of gasoline deliveries into secondary storage and said tight gasoline inventories appear consistent with Kayrros estimates.
In a separate market note sent to Rigzone earlier this month, Kayrros outlined that the U.S. summer driving season was off to a slow start.
The average price of regular gasoline in the U.S. was $4.655 per gallon on July 12, according to the AAA gas prices website. Yesterday’s average was $4.678 per gallon, the week ago average was $4.800 per gallon, the month ago average was $5.010 per gallon and the year ago average was $3.147 per gallon, the AAA site showed. The highest recorded average price for regular gasoline was seen on June 14 at $5.016 per gallon, according to the site.
Average diesel prices in the U.S., as of July 12, came in at $5.625 per gallon, the AAA site showed. Yesterday’s average was $5.642 per gallon, the week ago average was $5.726 per gallon, the month ago average was $5.771 per gallon and the year ago average was $3.265 per gallon, according to the AAA site, which outlined that the highest recorded average price of diesel was seen on June 19 at $5.816 per gallon.
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