據(jù)能源網(wǎng)8月12日倫敦報(bào)道，據(jù)國(guó)際能源署（IEA）稱，由于剩余產(chǎn)能有限，OPEC+在未來(lái)幾個(gè)月不太可能增加產(chǎn)量。

此外，IEA還表示，隨著產(chǎn)能大國(guó)石油產(chǎn)量下降，9月份承諾的“象征性地”日增產(chǎn)10萬(wàn)桶，實(shí)際上可能會(huì)變成減產(chǎn)。

IEA周四在月度報(bào)告中表示，主要由沙特阿拉伯和阿拉伯聯(lián)合酋長(zhǎng)國(guó)持有的運(yùn)營(yíng)閑置產(chǎn)能水平相對(duì)較低，因此幾乎排除了歐佩克+在未來(lái)幾個(gè)月進(jìn)一步大幅增產(chǎn)的可能性。

就能源政策向主要發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體提供建議的這家總部位于巴黎的組織，其前景顯示，今年下半年滿足全球石油需求增長(zhǎng)的負(fù)擔(dān)將落在石油輸出國(guó)組織及其盟國(guó)以外的國(guó)家身上。

根據(jù)IEA的數(shù)據(jù)顯示，非歐佩克+產(chǎn)油國(guó)的原油日供應(yīng)量預(yù)計(jì)今年將增加170萬(wàn)桶，明年將增加190萬(wàn)桶。

與去年相比，這是一個(gè)顯著的增長(zhǎng)，但仍低于2022年和2023年預(yù)計(jì)的210萬(wàn)桶/天的需求增長(zhǎng)。

郝芬 譯自 能源網(wǎng)

原文如下:

IEA Sees Little Chance That OPEC+ Will Supply More Oil -Bloomberg

OPEC+ is unlikely to increase output in the coming months because of limited spare capacity, according to the International Energy Agency.

Furthermore, the “l(fā)argely symbolic” 100,000 barrel-a-day hike promised for September may actually turn into a cut as the larger producer's production declines, the IEA said.

“Comparatively low levels of operational spare production capacity, held mainly by Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, may thus all but rule out substantial further OPEC+ output increases in the coming months,” the IEA said in its monthly report on Thursday.

The outlook from the Paris-based organization that advises major developed economies on energy policy suggests the burden of satisfying global oil demand growth in the latter part of the year will fall on countries outside the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies.

Non-OPEC+ supply is projected to rise by 1.7 million barrels a day this year and 1.9 million next year, according to the IEA. That’s a significant acceleration compared with last year, but still falls short of 2.1 million barrels a day of demand growth expected in 2022 and 2023.